Near the end of the video, a statement caught my eye. It
said that it is nearly impossible to make predictions about technology more
than 15 years in advance. I immediately thought of an article I read a few
weeks ago. The article was about how Steve Jobs had predicted WiFi and the iPad.
At the bottom of the article, it had a link to a long speech he made in 1983. I
actually listened to the entire speech and was enthralled. Here is the article:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/03/steve-jobs-1983-speech_n_1935815.html
What I think is amazing about this article and the attached
soundbyte is that people are calling him this amazing “fortune teller” who
could predict the future when, in actuality, he was just outlining a roadmap
for what he was going to do. He made the iPad happen. He didn’t foresee
it - he thought of it, then proceeded to spend the next 30 years doing it.
That’s what’s so phenomenal about the age we live in. You
can “dream” and, in your lifetime, make that dream come true. Because things
are moving so fast, and people are living longer, you can see the fruits of
your labor actually materialize. Steve Jobs was able to enjoy the iPad before
he died and he was able to see his dreams come true.
I went to an engineering college in the early 1990s and have
many friends who are software engineers. I remember my C++ grad assistant, Das
(yes, that is his name, though maybe I’m the only one who gets the joke now)
telling me that, in India, many of his friends had their own cell phones. This
was in 1994. He said someday, we would all get a phone number when we got our first
cell phones and we would have that phone number for the rest of our lives. That
was silly to think of because, as a college student, you moved at least once a
year and were constantly changing your darn phone number. I told Das that that
would be pretty cool. I now have a phone number, that I got back in 1999 in San
Francisco, and I do believe I will have this 415 phone number until the day I
die.
I think it’s wonderful what we’re accomplishing in the world
today, in biotechnology, astrophysics, chemistry, and computers, and I have no
doubt that further generations will solve the seemingly baffling or irreversible
problems ours and previous generations have caused. I believe the problems will
be solved because human beings are a truly remarkable species. I grew up seeing
streets and beaches littered with trash and recyclables and, just 30 years
later, I see an exponential change in people’s awareness about our Earth and
what we’ve done to it and what we need to do to fix it. Even my parents, born
in the 1940s, recycle and seem very conscious of their effect on the
environment.
Yes, I believe we will persevere, and we humans will be
around a long time because, like Steve Jobs, you don’t have to sit back and
make predictions, you can actually make things, great things, big things,
happen and live to see the difference firsthand.